Prediction Marketplace

The world's first permissionless creator-driven Prediction Market using Basis token technology

Introducing Predict+

Predict+ token technology revolutionizes prediction markets by combining the excitement of event betting with the stability of investment-grade assets. Unlike traditional platforms that force users into binary win-or-lose scenarios, Predict+ creates a comprehensive prediction economy where participants can invest, trade, borrow, and bet using the same multi-utility tokens—all backed by Basis's groundbreaking price stability technology.

The Problem with Traditional Prediction Markets

Centralization Creates Systemic Risk

Traditional prediction markets face fundamental challenges that limit their potential and accessibility. Centralized platforms like Polymarket suffer from regulatory vulnerabilities, geographic restrictions, and single points of failure. These platforms control event creation, resolution, and fund custody, creating trust issues that deter mainstream adoption. When platforms can be shut down, censored, or manipulated, users rightfully hesitate to commit significant capital.

Market Maker Liquidity Traps Value

Conventional prediction markets rely on automated market makers (AMMs) and liquidity pools that create inefficiencies and risks. Liquidity providers face impermanent loss, market makers can manipulate odds through large trades, ultimately impacting prediction accuracy, and significant capital sits idle in pools rather than being productively deployed. This model extracts value from participants while creating barriers to entry for event creators who must bootstrap substantial liquidity before their markets become viable.

Binary Outcomes Limit Participation

The biggest limitation of current prediction markets is their binary nature—you either win everything or lose everything. This all-or-nothing approach excludes conservative investors, limits market depth, and creates unnecessary volatility. Participants who believe in an event's popularity but are uncertain about its outcome have no way to profit from their insight. This single-utility design artificially constrains what could be a much larger, more dynamic market.

The Predict+ Solution: Multi-Utility Stable Tokens

Revolutionary Token Design

Predict+ transforms prediction markets through its innovative use of Basis's Stable+ token technology. Every prediction event launches with its own unique token that maintains a guaranteed floor price—it can appreciate in value but never decrease below its established minimum. This breakthrough design means participants can invest in the excitement around an event without risking total loss, fundamentally changing the risk-reward equation of prediction markets.

Four Ways to Win from Every Event

The multi-utility nature of Predict+ tokens creates unprecedented flexibility for participants. Users can hold tokens purely for price appreciation as event interest builds, creating investment returns without gambling on outcomes. They can trade tokens on the integrated DEX to capture volatility from news and sentiment shifts. They can use tokens as collateral for 100% loan-to-value loans, accessing liquidity without selling their position. And for those who want traditional prediction market exposure, they can stake tokens on specific outcomes for USDC payouts based on odds.

Permissionless Event Creation

Unlike centralized platforms that restrict who can create markets, Predict+ empowers anyone to launch prediction events through a decentralized, permissionless system. Creators simply describe their event and potential outcomes, and let the community fund it through the bonding phase. This democratization of event creation unleashes unlimited market potential—from major sporting events and elections to niche community predictions and viral social phenomena.

How Predict+ Works

Event Creation and Validation

The Predict+ marketplace begins with permissionless access that encourages innovation while maintaining quality. Creators connect their wallets and the platform's AI classifiers automatically categorize events and apply appropriate thresholds, while keyword scans and moderation prevent prohibited content including illegal activities, harmful material, and regulatory violations.

The Bonding Phase: Optional Early Access Period

Creators can choose to implement an optional bonding phase that serves as a freeze period for early token purchases before public trading begins. When enabled, this phase allows creators to purchase initial tokens themselves or conduct whitelisted presales to specific wallets at starting bonding curve prices. Unlike traditional models, there are no minimum thresholds or viability requirements—the event proceeds regardless of bonding participation, even with zero purchases. Participants who buy during this optional phase benefit from better pricing and earn perpetual reward shares (3.33% of all future trading fees). The platform uses on-demand token minting paired with stablecoin backing, with tokens protected by Stable+ technology ensuring they cannot decrease below their floor price. Creators who prefer immediate public access can skip the bonding phase entirely for a fair launch where anyone can purchase tokens right away.

Smart Contract Infrastructure

The technical foundation of Predict+ leverages audited smart contracts deployed on Ethereum, ensuring transparency and security. Each event's smart contract manages the automated market making mechanics, where odds adjust dynamically based on betting volume in an AMM-style pool. Anti-manipulation mechanisms including wallet reputation scores and bet limits protect market integrity.

Trading and Betting Dynamics

Once an event goes live, Predict+ tokens trade freely on the integrated DEX with the same low fees and protections as all Basis tokens. The token price reflects market sentiment about the event's importance and activity level, creating a meta-market on top of the prediction market. Betting begins with equal odds that adjust based on volume, with participants able to bet using either Predict+ tokens or USDC. This dual-track system means some users purely invest in tokens for appreciation while others engage in traditional outcome betting.

Resolution and Payouts

Event resolution combines multiple oracle solutions for maximum reliability and dispute resistance. For Basis-created markets, the platform integrates Chainlink for objective data and AI-triggered feeds for subjective outcomes, with community fallback when automated oracles are unavailable. Creator markets follow a prioritized resolution process: creators have first opportunity to resolve (no bond required), followed by community members who must post bonds (Bounty Pool × 10). A 2-hour dispute window allows challenges by posting bonds and proposing alternative outcomes, triggering Basis Army voting for final arbitration within 24-48 hours depending on market type. The resolution incentive structure rewards accuracy through the bounty pool (funded by 0.05% of transaction fees), with successful resolvers receiving the bounty while failed disputants forfeit bonds to the Basis Army. Winners claim their USDC payouts through the dApp with no time limit, receiving their proportional share of all losing stakes plus 0.95% accuracy bonus fees. Invalid markets trigger full refunds to all participants with the bounty pool distributed to voting Army members.

The Competitive Advantage

Superior to Polymarket's Centralized Model

While Polymarket proved the massive demand for prediction markets with $3.2 billion in election volume, their centralized model creates vulnerabilities that Predict+ eliminates. Basis's decentralized architecture means no geographic restrictions, no regulatory shutdown risk, and no centralized control over events or resolutions. More importantly, Predict+ tokens' dual utility design could easily generate 5-10x the volume of single-utility prediction tokens, as investors who would never gamble can still participate through token appreciation.

Beyond Traditional AMM Limitations

Traditional prediction markets using automated market makers suffer from capital inefficiency and manipulation risks. Predict+ eliminates these issues through its innovative liquidity model where tokens are minted on demand and backed by stablecoins. There's no idle capital sitting in pools, no impermanent loss for liquidity providers, and no ability for whales to manipulate odds through sandwich attacks. The MEV-resistant architecture and internal liquidity mechanisms create a fairer, more efficient market for all participants.

Stable Backing Changes Everything

The integration with Basis's Stable+ technology fundamentally transforms prediction market economics. Predict+ tokens maintain their floor price regardless of broader market conditions, meaning participants only need to evaluate event-specific risks rather than systemic crypto risks. This stability expands the addressable market to include institutional investors, conservative traders, and mainstream users who previously avoided prediction markets due to volatility concerns.

Revenue Model and Distribution

Low Fees Drive Volume

Predict+ maintains competitive 1.5% transaction fees that are dramatically lower than traditional gambling or betting platforms. These fees only apply to token buys, sells and bet outcome switching within the prediction market. The low fee structure encourages high-volume trading and betting, creating a positive feedback loop where more activity generates more revenue despite lower margins.

Transparent Fee Distribution

The platform's fee distribution model aligns all stakeholder incentives. Event creators receive 20% of trading fees from their event tokens, incentivizing quality event creation and promotion. Bond phase participants earn 3.33% of ongoing fees as rewards for early support. Basis NFT holders receive 30% of all platform revenue, creating substantial passive income from prediction market activity. The remaining fees support token price mechanisms and platform development.

The Volume Multiplier Effect

The dual-utility design of Predict+ tokens creates multiple revenue streams from each event. Trading volume generates fees as investors buy and sell tokens based on event sentiment. Betting volume creates fees as participants stake on outcomes. Lending activity produces fees when token holders use their positions as collateral. This multiplication of use cases means each successful event can generate 5-10x the fee revenue of traditional single-purpose prediction markets.

Market Opportunity and Growth Potential

Infinite Event Categories

The permissionless nature of Predict+ opens unlimited market possibilities across every imaginable category. Sports championships and tournaments create seasonal volume spikes with passionate fan engagement. Political elections generate massive global interest with multi-billion dollar potential. Cryptocurrency price predictions attract DeFi natives and traders. Entertainment awards engage mainstream audiences. Economic indicators interest institutional players. Product launches leverage brand communities. Weather events create hedging opportunities. Social media milestones drive viral growth. The only limit is human creativity and interest.

Network Effects Accelerate Growth

The Predict+ marketplace benefits from powerful network effects that compound value creation. More events attract more users, increasing liquidity and betting volume. Higher volume generates more fees, rewarding NFT holders and attracting more investment. Success stories encourage more creators to launch events, expanding market variety. Media coverage of major events drives mainstream adoption. Each component reinforces the others, creating exponential rather than linear growth potential.

The Technology Stack

Built on Proven Infrastructure

Predict+ leverages Basis's battle-tested smart contract architecture that has been audited by leading security firms. The platform runs on Ethereum for maximum security and composability, with plans for cross-chain expansion. All contracts are transparent and verifiable on-chain, building trust through radical transparency. The integration with Basis's existing DEX, lending facility, and token infrastructure means Predict+ launches with mature, proven technology rather than experimental systems.

Security and Risk Management

Multiple security layers protect users and maintain market integrity. Smart contract audits by multiple firms ensure code quality. MEV-resistant design prevents front-running and manipulation. Time-locks and multi-sig controls on critical functions prevent unauthorized changes. Insurance funds provide additional protection for extreme scenarios. Regular security reviews and bug bounties maintain ongoing vigilance.

Why Predict+ Wins

The Complete Prediction Economy

Predict+ isn't just improving prediction markets—it's creating an entirely new prediction economy. By combining stable token technology with multi-utility design, the platform unlocks value that traditional markets can't access. Investors, traders, bettors, and creators all benefit from a system where success in any area drives value to all participants. This isn't incremental improvement; it's a paradigm shift in how prediction markets operate.

First Mover Advantage with Proven Demand

The massive success of Polymarket proves the demand, but their limitations create the opportunity. Predict+ launches as the first decentralized prediction market with stable token backing, capturing first-mover advantage in a proven market. The integration with Basis's existing ecosystem provides immediate liquidity and users, accelerating past the cold-start problem that plagues new platforms.

Aligned Incentives Drive Sustainable Growth

Every aspect of Predict+ aligns participant incentives for long-term success. Creators earn from their events' success without dumping tokens. Early supporters receive perpetual rewards for their risk. NFT holders benefit from all platform activity. Users have multiple ways to profit from their market insights. This alignment creates sustainable growth rather than extractive value capture, building a platform designed to thrive for decades rather than months.

The Future of Prediction Markets

Predict+ represents the evolution of prediction markets from simple gambling mechanisms to sophisticated financial instruments. By solving the fundamental problems of centralization, liquidity inefficiency, and binary outcomes, the platform opens prediction markets to mainstream adoption. The combination of stable token technology, multi-utility design, and permissionless creation creates unlimited potential for growth and innovation.

The question isn't whether prediction markets will grow—Polymarket already proved the demand. The question is whether that growth will be captured by centralized, limited platforms or by decentralized, innovative ecosystems. Predict+ provides the answer: a prediction marketplace that benefits everyone, scales infinitely, and operates without boundaries or restrictions.

This is more than a prediction market. This is the prediction economy of the future, built on technology that makes everyone a winner.